Aaditya’s Jan Ashirwad Yatra was a key outreach plan devised by the IPAC. The best of journalism is shrinking, yielding to crude prime-time spectacle. It remains to be seen if the AIADMK along with BJP can fashion such a recovery in the next 8 months. The election commission is yet to announce the date. Anything may happen in Politics. These parties will play crucial role in getting votes for their alliance in the specific region for their alliance partners. After the sweep in Lok Sabha election 2019, DMK has been on Cloud 9. Last date for making Nominations : 3. Stalin Monday, apparently to seal the deal. In 2016 Tamil Nadu election it was then AIADMK chief, J. Jayalalithaa’s magic that helped incumbent AIADMK government to return to power once again. Published: 12 Nov 2020, 6:48 PM IST. One important point to note is that AIADMK as a much deeper base than DMK (read this analysis). However, the Coronavirus crisis may have given his government an added setback. In South TN which is not AIADMK's strong region, the party is givinga. The party’s victory in the three recent bypolls in Bengal is supposed to have had assistance from the IPAC, even though Kishor’s own JD(U) is an adversary of the TMC in Bengal. Copyright © 2020 CrowdWisdom All Rights Reserved. Roping in Prashant Kishore even after thundering victory in Lok Sabha election was clear indication of nervousness in the DMK camp. I am confident that, DMK will overcome all the challenges and emerge as single largest party in 2021 election. The Tamil Nadu assembly election 2021 will give rise to a new leader who will write the future of Tamil Nadu. So it has greater ability to bounce back than the DMK. This will be a key battle ground in 2021. 2. While 45% is not a great rating, this will reduce the losses that we observed earlier. As usual, we used what is called the wisdom of the crowd method (small samples). Unstable in their stand and frequent change in the alliance will affect them. : The 234 seats of Tamil Nadu Legislative assembly will go on for polls in 2021. They have more than good chance of winning the elections in 2021 with a thumping majority. CM E Palaniswamy rated just 48 in July 2020. Remember, AIADMK won by a landslide in this district in 2016, Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2021: Thiruvallur District Summary, 1. With the current situation, Kamal seems to be pro majority Tamil Nadu people’s mindset and Rajini seems to be anti majority Tamil Nadu people’s mindset. He will be the biggest spoiler for both ADMK and DMK. It will be like DMK vs Anti DMK winning group election. AIADMK has literally destroyed the state of Tamil Nadu in all the means. As long as it keeps propping up the lame and decrepit Congress as an alliance partner, giving it far larger number of seats than it deserves, the DMK has no hope of winning a majority. i. The DMK going for Prashant Kishor shows its lack of confidence in strategists within the party,” Sathyan said. In fact, if Ladbrokes is present in India I would wager goodly amount of money on them. In urban seats AIADMK led DMK 85 to 57 seats. Here are the results of the Tamil Nadu Election Opinion Poll 2021 in Thoothukkudi District, Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2021: Close Contest in Thoothukudi Disrict, Will be Retained by AIADMK - Vilathikulam, Srivaikuntam, Shift from AIADMK to DMK - Ottapidaram, Kovilpatti. We will have a more precise answer once we complete more districts. It’s very early to write about the Tamil Nadu legislative assembly elections 2021. A recent poll by Ormax Media said that just 48% of respondents in Tamil Nadu approved of the job done by Mr. Palaniswami. The Lok Sabha 2019 election result was a clear indication of AIADMK losing grip over the state. AIADMK’s close association with BJP and BJP’s Anti Tamil Nadu schemes are the major reason for this. There have been brutal layoffs and pay-cuts. Corona crisis has hurt TN pulling back the AIADMK quite a bit. Issue of Notification : 2. A little analytics is used to remove bias. Chennai: Election strategist Prashant Kishor’s Indian Political Action Committee (IPAC) has now signed on to help the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) in the 2021 Tamil Nadu assembly elections. Even in 2021, BJP will not open any account in Tamil Nadu. In the 2016 assembly election, the party won only eight of 41 seats allocated to it by the DMK after a hard bargain. And if Rajini joins BJP directly, he will land up getting big zero in the 2021 election. You have insufficient coins to play the game. This is one of the lowest in the country. Schedule For Assembly Election Tamil Nadu 2021: Poll : Event Dates: 1. But the news media is in a crisis of its own. They don’t have big vote bank in the state. Whom the party picks can be the chief minister.". Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. Whom the party picks can be the chief minister." The current Chief Minister, Edappadi K. Palaniswami (EPS), will be the CM candidate for the upcoming Tamil Nadu Assembly Election. “Tamil Nadu as a state has extremely high political awareness. "We will determine the next government formation in Tamil Nadu," asserted the BJP leader. Among all the key regional players, PMK and Puthiya Tamilagam party will suffer in 2021 election. After some initial speculation, a senior DMK leader confirmed the development to ThePrint. Let’s see what happen, Tamil Nadu assembly election 2021 - Prediction. While speaking to media, AIADMK minister D Jayakumar said exuded confidence that the party will storm to power once again on its own with an absolute majority under the leadership of Chief Minister Edappadi K Palaniswami in the Assembly polls due next year. This will be the first full-state legislative election without J. Jayalalithaa and M. Karunanidhi, as they both died in 2016 and 2018 respectively and new leaders for arch rivals AIADMK and DMK Smitha TK. 2021 election will be purely around DMK. Last date for withdrawal of candidatures : 5. If my predictions are correct, 2021 election will be one of the important election for DMK. You have entered an incorrect email address! Should a prediction come true, you get 100 bonus points for each unit/share owned For every wrong prediction, the number of units/shares become zero Price of a prediction will go up if there is demand and more people believe that the prediction will come true. Even if he forms the party, he will not win much. Chief Ministers Of Tamil Nadu List From 1969 to 2020. : The 234 seats of Tamil Nadu Legislative assembly will go on for polls in 2021. Chief Minister K Palaniswami has been trying to position himself as the son of the soil. Ltd. All rights reserved. Prashant Kishor’s latest assignment — helping DMK win 2021 Tamil Nadu assembly... Election strategist Prashant Kishor’s Indian Political Action Committee (IPAC) has now signed on to help the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) in the 2021 Tamil Nadu assembly elections. Nitish later broke the successful alliance to rejoin the BJP-led NDA, while Kishor also joined his party. DMK on the other hand has not crossed 35% in a single election since 1996, - The last time DMK won a majority on its own was in 1996, AIADMK on the other hand has won a majority on its own 3 times out of the last 4 elections, - The DMK's weakness is mostly in Western TN (Kongu belt) and Central region where it won just 14 seats versus AIADMK which won 43 Seats. All the rights which were protected by our former leaders were brutally destroyed in the past 4 years. Tamil Nadu: Congress surveys potential seats for 2021 assembly polls. The party’s, At about the same time as the IPAC was helping Jagan in Andhra Pradesh, it set up a new team in Tamil Nadu to find clients for 2021. On October 7, 2020, the ruling party, AIADMK announced their Chief Minister candidate for the upcoming Tamil Nadu assembly election. Corona crisis has hurt TN pulling back the AIADMK quite a bit. Going one step ahead, DMK will get absolute majority in 2021 election if they contest in 150+ seats. However, this time the story is completely different. However, one must not forget that along with Lok Sabha election, by-polls to 24 vacant assembly election was held. Scrutiny of Nominations : 4. 1. You have insufficient coins to play the quiz. After some initial speculation, a senior DMK leader confirmed the development to ThePrint. If one were to project on the basis of a small swing of even 2%, DMK+ will end up with 130+ seats. This website uses cookies to improve your experience. Sustaining journalism of this quality needs smart and thinking people like you to pay for it. Neither side has, however, issued an official statement on the partnership. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the by bolls scheduled for November 2020 is also postponed in TN. Coins Have Been Added To Your Wallet. The Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly elections to be held in Tamil Nadu on May 2021 for the 234 seats of the Legislative Assembly in the state of Tamil Nadu in India. Kamal Haasan has already started a party and contested in the Parliament election. The upcoming assembly election will be one of the most crucial one for both AIADMK and DMK. One unit is like one share. Whether this is a rural urban divide, difficult to say at the moment. In South TN which is not AIADMK's strong region, the party is givinga. For the first time both AIADMK and DMK will be fighting without their party patriarch Jayalalitaa and M. Karunanidhi. Kishor and IPAC had crafted strategies for Amarinder Singh and the Congress in the Punjab assembly polls in 2017, as well as for the Nitish Kumar-led JD(U)-RJD-Congress Mahagathbandhan in Bihar. -->. We can even call this as one of the Dark age for the state of Tamil Nadu. The BJP will emerge as an unshakable force in the 2021 assembly elections. Earlier in the day, L Murugan held the 'Vetri Val Yatra' in Koyambedu without the state government's permission. If Kamal join hands with DMK in the 2021 election, he has a good chance of establishing his party in the state with at least few MLAs. By-election was also considered as mini-assembly election battle. tough fit to DMK and if lucky, the losses will be limited to 1 seat. Out of 24, DMK had won 21 in last election and AIADMK could manage only 3. However, if one were to project on the basis of seats gained, DMK+ will end up with 150+ seats. DMK will be center of attraction. It is going to be a difficult turf for external strategists. Apart form the national parties, there are few important regional players such as PMK, MDMK, VCK, Kongu Nadu Party, Puthiya Tamilagam, NTK, AMMK and few others. | The Newshour Agenda, Here's a look at the various Diwali sweets prepared across India, NDA wins the Bihar battle, Will Nitish Kumar continue as state Chief Minister? 1 year is very long term with respective politics. As far as Rajini is concerned, I am not sure whether he will form any political party and contest in the election. Bihar Election 2020 – Dates, Major Parties, And Constituencies, List Of Telangana Government Holidays 2021, Kerala Water Authority Online Bill Payment – KWA Online Bill Payment, BWSSB Online Payment – Pay Bangalore Water Bill, WBSEDCL Bill Payment Online – West Bengal Electricity Bill Payment, BESCOM Online Bill Payment – FAQs On Bangalore Electricity Bill Payment, FAQs On PGVCL Online Bill Payment In Gujarat, APSPDCL Bill Payment – FAQs On AP Electricity Bill Online Payment, COVID-19 Testing Centers In Tamil Nadu – Government And Private Labs, Result Of Bihar Election 2020 – Constituency Wise Winners And Vote Share, All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM ). Read below our Previous Analysis on this election (August 2nd week data). 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